First set of DBM 3.0 results
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Initial results from competitions using DBM v3.0.

The table below covers results from competitions involving a total of 1,044 players (or teams in the case of doubles) with known armies using DBM 3.0. These competitions involved roughly 200 different armies.  My main source of information was the World Wide Web, and the competitions were generally held in either the UK or Australia (if anyone knows a good web page for US competition results, I would like to know).  If the competitions only has very broad restrictions (e.g. 2 or more army books) then I count it as unrestricted. 

The probability of success figure represents how far up the rankings the army came in the competition results. In other words, the army coming first in a competition gets 100%, the army that came last gets 0% and the rest are spread evenly between.

Army Overall Limited period competitions Unlimited competitions overall limited unlimited
Patrician Roman 38 5 33 47% 29% 50%
Later Imperial Roman 38 2 36 50% 56% 50%
Early Achaemenid Persian 25 15 10 54% 51% 58%
Seleucid 25 6 19 51% 52% 51%
Early Carthaginian 24 20 4 51% 50% 54%
New Kingdom Egyptian 23 15 8 47% 45% 52%
Neo Assyrian Later Sargonid 21 11 10 60% 47% 74%
Lydian 21 11 10 57% 61% 52%
Viking & Leidang 20 5 15 50% 61% 47%
Northern & Southern Dynasties 20 4 16 49% 53% 48%
Skythian etc 19 7 12 67% 54% 75%
Later Hungarian 18 1 17 59% 57% 59%
Later Carthaginian 18 1 17 44% 61% 43%
Classical Indian 17 7 10 58% 68% 50%
Ugaritic 15 3 12 64% 49% 68%
Early Samurai 15 2 13 60% 67% 59%
Medieval German 15 2 13 55% 74% 52%
Medieval Portugese 15 1 14 58% 35% 60%
Fanatic Berber 14 3 11 58% 48% 61%
Middle Assyrian 13 5 8 44% 50% 40%
Kushan 13 3 10 53% 43% 56%
Carolingian Frankish 13 2 11 56% 23% 62%
Abbasid Arab 13 2 11 47% 21% 52%
Rus 12 4 8 65% 73% 61%
Italian Condotta 11 1 10 22% 0% 24%
Neo Babylonian 10 10 0 48% 48% -
Spring & Autumn Chinese 10 9 1 61% 61% 62%
Later Hoplite Greek 10 1 9 49% 51% 49%
Sicilian 10 0 10 72% - 72%
Warring States & Ch'in Chinese 10 0 10 59% - 59%
Alexandrian Imperial 9 2 7 54% 70% 49%
Feudal Spanish 9 2 7 47% 19% 54%
Komnenan Byzantine 9 1 8 61% 83% 58%
Ottoman Turk 9 1 8 49% 22% 52%
Hsiung Nu 9 0 9 56% - 56%
Han Chinese 9 0 9 56% - 56%
Graeco-Bactrian 8 5 3 75% 74% 75%
Early Libyan 8 4 4 66% 81% 51%
Bosporan 8 4 4 56% 68% 44%
Palmyran 8 2 6 49% 61% 44%
Later Hebrew 8 2 6 38% 51% 33%
Sassanid Persian 8 1 7 45% 29% 48%
Ancient British 8 0 8 47% - 47%
Neo Assyrian Empire 7 6 1 51% 55% 31%
Parthian 7 4 3 41% 43% 37%
Makkan 7 3 4 59% 64% 54%
Early Byzantine 7 2 5 34% 32% 35%
Hunnic 7 2 5 27% 8% 34%
West Sudanese 7 1 6 67% 56% 69%
Buyid 7 1 6 63% 74% 61%
Anglo Norman 7 1 6 42% 91% 33%
Central Asian Turkish 6 4 2 65% 59% 77%
Later Achaemenid Persian 6 4 2 27% 37% 8%
Arab Conquest 6 2 4 59% 47% 65%
Polybian Roman 6 2 4 43% 20% 55%
Later Pre-Islamic Arab 6 1 5 72% 84% 70%
Teutonic Order 6 1 5 67% 96% 61%
Welsh 6 1 5 54% 67% 52%
Minoan & Early Mycenaean 5 4 1 46% 41% 65%
Hittite Empire 5 4 1 38% 25% 88%
Alexandrian Macedonian 5 3 2 35% 45% 21%
Mu-jung Hsien-Pi 5 2 3 57% 47% 64%
Christian Nubian 5 2 3 51% 52% 51%
Tupi 5 1 4 50% 61% 48%
Alan 5 1 4 49% 78% 41%
Dynastic Bedouin 5 1 4 48% 4% 59%
Beja etc 5 0 5 62% - 62%
Pictish 5 0 5 43% - 43%
Dacian 5 0 5 28% - 28%
Marian Roman 4 3 1 73% 86% 34%
Nubian 4 3 1 61% 52% 89%
Arabo-Aramaean 4 2 2 69% 69% 70%
Hindu Indian 4 2 2 56% 81% 31%
Central Asian City States 4 2 2 51% 62% 40%
Maccabean Jewish 4 2 2 14% 24% 3%
Nikephorian Byzantine 4 1 3 36% 11% 45%
Later Muslim Indian 4 1 3 32% 30% 33%
Hussite 4 0 4 57% - 57%
Later Crusader 4 0 4 45% - 45%
Serbian Empire 4 0 4 42% - 42%
Later Polish 4 0 4 38% - 38%
Umayyad Arab 4 0 4 32% - 32%
Norman 4 0 4 29% - 29%
Gepid 4 0 4 27% - 27%
Middle Imperial Roman 4 0 4 19% - 19%
Wars of the Roses 4 0 4 15% - 15%
Kushite Egyptian 3 3 0 76% 76% -
Libyan Egyptian 3 3 0 30% 30% -
Early Egyptian 3 3 0 25% 25% -
Etruscan League 3 2 1 51% 64% 26%
Communal Italian 3 2 1 47% 57% 29%
Graeco-Indian 3 1 2 60% 50% 65%
Qara Khitan 3 1 2 47% 70% 36%
Akkadian 3 1 2 45% 5% 65%
Sea Peoples 3 1 2 36% 17% 45%
Kyrenean Greek 3 1 2 34% 42% 31%
Early Northern Barbarians 3 1 2 30% 19% 35%
Mithridatic 3 1 2 17% 21% 14%
Galatian 3 1 2 15% 16% 15%
Yuan Chinese 3 0 3 79% - 79%
Navarrese 3 0 3 76% - 76%
Anglo Danish 3 0 3 64% - 64%
Lithuanian 3 0 3 60% - 60%
Burgundian Ordonnance 3 0 3 53% - 53%
Medieval French 3 0 3 43% - 43%
Tamil Indian 3 0 3 40% - 40%
Early Muslim North Africa 3 0 3 27% - 27%
Feudal English 3 0 3 26% - 26%
Tibetan 2 2 0 57% 57% -
Thracian 2 2 0 39% 39% -
Hellenistic Greek 2 1 1 73% 84% 62%
Burmese 2 1 1 65% 65% 64%
Sui Chinese 2 1 1 60% 64% 56%
Khazar 2 1 1 52% 39% 66%
Early German 2 1 1 47% 57% 38%
Khmer 2 1 1 9% 2% 16%
Scots Isles & Highlands 2 1 1 2% 4% 0%
Konstantinian Byzantine 2 1 1 2% 0% 4%
Croatian 2 0 2 92% - 92%
Ancient Spanish 2 0 2 89% - 89%
Sicilian 2 0 2 73% - 73%
Early Frankish 2 0 2 71% - 71%
Early Hungarian 2 0 2 63% - 63%
Free Company 2 0 2 58% - 58%
Slave Revolt 2 0 2 52% - 52%
Gallic 2 0 2 48% - 48%
Spartan 2 0 2 43% - 43%
Siamese 2 0 2 42%  - 42%
Early Ostorgothic 2 0 2 41% - 41%
Later Macedonian 2 0 2 36% - 36%
Tamil Indian 2 0 2 33% - 33%
Amazonian 2 0 2 32% - 32%
Syracusan 2 0 2 31% - 31%
Samnite 2 0 2 30% - 30%
Early Crusader 2 0 2 30% - 30%
Pyrrhic 2 0 2 19% - 19%
Avar 2 0 2 19% - 19%
Later Swiss 2 0 2 17% - 17%
Early Imperial Roman 2 0 2 11% - 11%
Nan Chao 2 0 2 8% - 8%
Eastern Forest American 2 0 2 7% - 7%
Samanid 1 1 0 96% 96% -
Cham 1 1 0 76% 76% -
Saitic Egyptian 1 1 0 73% 73% -
Tullian Roman 1 1 0 53% 53% -
Mitanni 1 1 0 50% 50% -
Sung Chinese 1 1 0 44% 44% -
Medes 1 1 0 44% 44% -
Ayyubid Egyptian 1 1 0 43% 43% -
Ptolemaic 1 1 0 42% 42% -
Early Bedouin 1 1 0 40% 40% -
Early Ostrogothic 1 1 0 33% 33% -
Sha'to Turkish 1 1 0 29% 29% -
Axumite 1 1 0 24% 24% -
Early Hoplite Greek 1 1 0 20% 20% -
Pecheneg 1 1 0 17% 17% -
Italian Ostrogothic 1 1 0 16% 16% -
Early Polish 1 1 0 13% 13% -
Camillan Roman 1 1 0 1% 1% -
Khurasanian 1 0 1 98% - 98%
Late Mycenean 1 0 1 94% - 94%
Timurid 1 0 1 92% - 92%
African Vandal 1 0 1 90% - 90%
Dynastic Chinese 1 0 1 87% - 87%
Middle Frankish 1 0 1 83% - 83%
Scots Common Army 1 0 1 80% - 80%
Syrian 1 0 1 76% - 76%
Pre-dynastic Khitan 1 0 1 67% - 67%
Commagene 1 0 1 55% - 55%
Georgian 1 0 1 52% - 52%
Abyssinian & Horn of Africa 1 0 1 49% - 49%
Thematic Byzantine 1 0 1 48% - 48%
Middle Roman 1 0 1 48% - 48%
Ming 1 0 1 46% - 46%
Khitan Liao 1 0 1 45% - 45%
Byzantine 1 0 1 43% - 43%
Fatamid Egyptian 1 0 1 41% - 41%
Aztec 1 0 1 39% - 39%
Mound Builder American 1 0 1 38% - 38%
Sarmatians 1 0 1 37% - 37%
Seljuk Turk 1 0 1 33% - 33%
100 Yrs War English 1 0 1 33% - 33%
Lysimachid 1 0 1 32% - 32%
Romanian Frank 1 0 1 31% - 31%
Catalan Company 1 0 1 29% - 29%
Early Armenian 1 0 1 26% - 26%
Norse Irish 1 0 1 25% - 25%
Later Mycenean 1 0 1 23% - 23%
Anatolian Turkomen 1 0 1 23% - 23%
Mongol Conquest 1 0 1 22% - 22%
Vandal 1 0 1 19% - 19%
Italian Lombard 1 0 1 13% - 13%
Hoplite Greek 1 0 1 13% - 13%
Pre Feudal Scots 1 0 1 11% - 11%
French Ordonnance 1 0 1 0% - 0%
Papal Italian 1 0 1 0% - 0%

There is a table showing the expected range of the success figure (assuming the results are random).


Last revised: February 05, 2002.  
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