Results 98-00
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The table below covers 75 competitions held between Oct 98 and Sept 00 which involved a total of total of 2,438 players (or teams in the case of doubles) with known armies (and 45 unknown). These competitions involved roughly 230 different armies. Again my main source of information was the World Wide Web, and the competitions were generally held in either the UK or Australia (if anyone knows a good web page for US competition results, I would like to know). A third (need to check this?) of the results were from limited period competitions (i.e. those where a restricted set of lists is used). If the competitions only has very broad restrictions (e.g. 2 or more army books) then I count it as unrestricted. None of the results used DBM 3.0 (or any of the DBM 2.2 drafts).

The probability of success figure represents how far up the rankings the army came in the competition results. In other words, the army coming first in a competition gets 100%, the army that came last gets 0% and the rest are spread evenly between.

  Frequency of use Probability of success
Army Overall limited period competitions unlimited competitions Overall limited period unlimited
Patrician Roman

105

36

69

58%

60%

57%

Later Imperial Roman

93

9

84

48%

53%

47%

Ottoman Turk

73

24

49

63%

57%

65%

Later Hungarian

73

24

49

52%

51%

52%

Abbasid Arab

63

18

45

69%

65%

71%

Seleucid

62

24

38

42%

37%

44%

Later Carthaginian

58

29

29

50%

56%

45%

Sassanid Persian

57

23

34

54%

53%

55%

Neo Assyrian Later Sargonid

55

18

37

57%

64%

54%

Medieval Portugese

52

13

39

61%

63%

60%

Classical Indian

40

15

25

53%

44%

58%

New Kingdom Egyptian

34

18

16

46%

50%

41%

Early Samurai

34

11

23

66%

66%

66%

Alexandrian Imperial

33

12

21

42%

29%

50%

Later Hebrew

31

23

8

58%

61%

50%

Northern & Southern Dynasties

31

10

21

49%

62%

42%

Ghaznavid

30

15

15

52%

60%

44%

Serbian Empire

30

8

22

58%

47%

62%

Italian Condotta

29

6

23

44%

40%

46%

Sui & Early T'ang Chinese

28

13

15

54%

59%

51%

Dailami

28

7

21

64%

73%

61%

Early Achaemenid Persian

27

11

16

47%

47%

47%

Medieval French

27

7

20

63%

39%

71%

Hunnic

27

2

25

49%

8%

52%

Hsiung Nu

26

9

17

65%

65%

65%

Marian Roman

26

6

20

29%

31%

29%

Khmer & Cham

25

12

13

57%

63%

51%

Central Asian Turkish

25

9

16

55%

57%

54%

Warring States & Ch'in Chinese

24

5

19

56%

61%

55%

Anglo Norman

23

4

19

46%

41%

48%

Early Imperial Roman

23

3

20

38%

51%

36%

Wars of the Roses

21

7

14

39%

55%

32%

Mongol Conquest

20

5

15

45%

36%

48%

Medieval German

20

4

16

44%

29%

48%

Feudal Spanish

20

3

17

57%

60%

56%

Middle Assyrian

19

10

9

48%

31%

67%

Graeco-Bactrian

19

10

9

34%

34%

35%

Rus

19

6

13

56%

36%

66%

Kushan

19

6

13

51%

45%

54%

Yuan Chinese

18

12

6

34%

36%

29%

Neo Babylonian

18

11

7

51%

55%

45%

Khurasanian

18

6

12

55%

57%

54%

Palmyran

17

7

10

58%

72%

48%

Romanian Frank

17

2

15

68%

87%

66%

Nikephorian Byzantine

16

2

14

44%

51%

42%

Thracian

15

8

7

45%

52%

38%

Alexandrian Macedonian

15

6

9

50%

58%

44%

Hellenistic Greek

14

6

8

65%

62%

67%

Central Asian City States

14

5

9

57%

44%

64%

Polybian Roman

14

5

9

54%

59%

51%

Early Byzantine

14

5

9

43%

39%

46%

Fanatic Berber

14

3

11

60%

77%

55%

Later Crusader

14

1

13

42%

75%

40%

Pictish

14

1

13

27%

34%

27%

Gallic

13

6

7

37%

28%

45%

Seljuq Turk

13

3

10

56%

57%

56%

French Ordonnance

13

3

10

50%

47%

50%

100 Years War English

13

2

11

46%

50%

46%

Arab Conquest

12

9

3

39%

37%

43%

Christian Nubian

12

6

6

47%

58%

36%

Indonesian or Malay

12

5

7

41%

21%

56%

Early Carthaginian

11

8

3

63%

54%

87%

Konstantinian Byzantine

11

7

4

42%

42%

42%

Parthian

11

4

7

38%

60%

25%

Han Chinese

11

3

8

52%

67%

47%

Early Crusader

11

3

8

26%

25%

27%

Later Hoplite Greek

11

2

9

60%

42%

64%

Early Frankish etc

11

2

9

42%

50%

40%

Ilkhanid

11

2

9

29%

46%

25%

Teutonic Order

11

1

10

45%

10%

48%

Maccabean Jewish

10

5

5

74%

80%

68%

Attalid Pergamene

10

5

5

58%

64%

51%

Later Muslim Indian

10

4

6

37%

31%

40%

Burgundian Ordonnance

10

3

7

56%

56%

55%

Dacian

10

3

7

44%

59%

37%

Later Achaemenid Persian

10

3

7

38%

49%

33%

Hussite

10

2

8

44%

61%

39%

Norman

10

1

9

47%

73%

44%

Viking

10

1

9

30%

8%

33%

Ancient British

10

0

10

34%

-

34%

Tibetan

9

7

2

73%

85%

29%

Later Swiss

9

4

5

53%

43%

61%

Early Muslim North African

9

1

8

42%

20%

45%

Mithridatic

9

1

8

26%

45%

23%

Mitanni

8

4

4

60%

61%

59%

Hindu Indian

8

4

4

33%

19%

47%

Alan

8

3

5

46%

36%

52%

Lithuanian

8

2

6

66%

50%

71%

Gepid

8

1

7

19%

0%

22%

Avar

7

5

2

49%

47%

54%

Ancient Spanish

7

3

4

40%

41%

40%

Feudal French

7

3

4

34%

43%

27%

Sub Roman British

7

3

4

30%

12%

44%

Sicilian

7

2

5

31%

8%

41%

Komnenan Byzantine

7

1

6

56%

40%

58%

Numidian

7

1

6

43%

24%

47%

Free Company

7

1

6

38%

40%

38%

Spartan

7

1

6

36%

0%

43%

Tamil Indian

7

1

6

30%

18%

32%

Ming Chinese

7

0

7

57%

-

57%

Later Pre-Islamic Arab

7

0

7

51%

-

51%

Catalan Company

6

4

2

79%

94%

50%

Mamluk Egyptian

6

4

2

68%

72%

61%

Bosporan

6

4

2

68%

69%

68%

Early Armenian

6

4

2

36%

42%

25%

Tupi

6

2

4

65%

47%

73%

Hittite Empire

6

1

5

36%

22%

39%

Dynastic Bedouin

6

0

6

81%

-

81%

Skythian & Early Hu

5

4

1

47%

35%

94%

Hsien-pi etc

5

3

2

37%

28%

51%

Later Polish

5

3

2

30%

21%

42%

Nobades & Beja

5

2

3

18%

26%

12%

Three Kingdoms Chinese

5

1

4

62%

38%

68%

Communal Italian

5

1

4

60%

14%

71%

Middle Imperial Roman

5

1

4

30%

17%

33%

Minoan & Early Mycenean

4

3

1

64%

64%

62%

Umayyad Arab

4

2

2

48%

47%

49%

Western Chou etc

4

2

2

36%

35%

37%

Tuareg

4

2

2

36%

27%

45%

Welsh

4

2

2

28%

31%

25%

Sha-T'o Turkish

4

1

3

61%

75%

56%

Graeco-Indian

4

1

3

61%

85%

53%

Libyan Egyptian

4

1

3

53%

95%

39%

Early Russian

4

1

3

52%

34%

59%

Navarrese

4

1

3

49%

19%

59%

Timurid

4

1

3

45%

4%

59%

Trapezuntine

4

0

4

65%

-

65%

Early Macedonian

4

0

4

58%

-

58%

Carthaginian

4

0

4

40%

-

40%

Arabo-Aramaean

3

3

0

66%

66%

-

Koguryo Korean

3

3

0

53%

53%

-

Paekche Korean

3

3

0

16%

16%

-

Neo Assyrian Empire

3

1

2

78%

67%

83%

Siamese

3

1

2

72%

48%

84%

Wallachian

3

1

2

64%

68%

61%

Khazar

3

1

2

63%

35%

78%

Pyrrhic